Wednesday, August 20, 2025

Nifty 50 – Derivatives & Levels (19 Aug 2025)

Date: 19-Aug-2025

Key Inputs

  • Futures net (Index): DII +36,962, FII –171,531, Pro +16,919
  • Options net (Index): FII –275,122, Pro –65,055
  • Cash (₹ Cr): FII –1,848, DII +2,261
  • Closes: Nifty 24,980, Bank Nifty 55,865

Read of Positioning

FIIs remain dominant shorts in both futures and options, plus cash selling – base case is still sell on rise.
DIIs/Pros are long in futures (supportive), but smaller than FII shorts.
Price at 24,980 (near a 25,000 magnet) means short-cover risk if 25k holds/sustains.

Nifty 50 – Critical Levels

  • Control/Pivot zone: 24,900–25,000
  • Upside resistances: 25,050–25,120, then 25,200–25,260
  • Supports: 24,900–24,840, then 24,780–24,720
  • Bearish trigger: sustained <24,720 → 24,650–24,600
  • Bullish trigger: sustained >25,120 → 25,200 → 25,260/25,300

Scenarios

1. Base (sell-on-rise): Fade 25,050–25,200 while FII shorts persist; watch for failure back below 24,900 → 24,840/24,780.
2. Short-cover extension: If Nifty accepts above 25,120 (not just a spike), squeeze can reach 25,200–25,260/300.
3. Downside follow-through: Loss of 24,720 opens 24,650–24,600; below that, 24,500.

Bank Nifty – Reference Levels

  • Resistance: 56,200–56,350, stretch 56,600
  • Support: 55,500–55,300, then 55,000
  • Tone: sideways-to-soft unless Nifty triggers a broad short-cover.

Bottom Line

With FIIs firmly short and selling cash, the default is sell-on-rise near 25,050–25,200.
A sustained reclaim above 25,120 flips the tape into short-cover mode; otherwise, expect tests of 24,840 → 24,780.

 


Nifty 50 – Derivatives & Levels  (20thAug 2025)

Date: 19-Aug-2025

Key Inputs

  • Futures net (Index): DII +36,962, FII –171,531, Pro +16,919
  • Options net (Index): FII –275,122, Pro –65,055
  • Cash (₹ Cr): FII –1,848, DII +2,261
  • Closes: Nifty 24,980, Bank Nifty 55,865

Read of Positioning

FIIs remain dominant shorts in both futures and options, plus cash selling – base case is still sell on rise.
DIIs/Pros are long in futures (supportive), but smaller than FII shorts.
Price at 24,980 (near a 25,000 magnet) means short-cover risk if 25k holds/sustains.

Nifty 50 – Critical Levels

  • Control/Pivot zone: 24,900–25,000
  • Upside resistances: 25,050–25,120, then 25,200–25,260
  • Supports: 24,900–24,840, then 24,780–24,720
  • Bearish trigger: sustained <24,720 → 24,650–24,600
  • Bullish trigger: sustained >25,120 → 25,200 → 25,260/25,300

Scenarios

1. Base (sell-on-rise): Fade 25,050–25,200 while FII shorts persist; watch for failure back below 24,900 → 24,840/24,780.
2. Short-cover extension: If Nifty accepts above 25,120 (not just a spike), squeeze can reach 25,200–25,260/300.
3. Downside follow-through: Loss of 24,720 opens 24,650–24,600; below that, 24,500.

Bank Nifty – Reference Levels

  • Resistance: 56,200–56,350, stretch 56,600
  • Support: 55,500–55,300, then 55,000
  • Tone: sideways-to-soft unless Nifty triggers a broad short-cover.

Bottom Line

With FIIs firmly short and selling cash, the default is sell-on-rise near 25,050–25,200.
A sustained reclaim above 25,120 flips the tape into short-cover mode; otherwise, expect tests of 24,840 → 24,780.

Anish Jagdish Parashar 

Indirect tax india online research 



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