Saturday, October 18, 2025

Zions Bancorporation and Western Alliance Bancorp recently red flags





Loan fraud & 
credit losses at regional banks in US

U.S. regional banks such as Zions Bancorporation and Western Alliance Bancorp recently disclosed significant losses tied to commercial loans where fraud is alleged (e.g. forged title policies, mis-represented collateral) .

For example, Zions expects a charge-off of about US$50 million on two commercial & industrial loans. 

These issues triggered a sharp drop in regional banking stocks (e.g. the KBW Regional Banking Index fell ~6.3% in one session) 


2. Growing concern about “shadow banking” / private credit markets

Firms in the non-bank lending ecosystem (private credit, specialty finance) are increasingly reaching large size (~US$3 trillion+) and are less regulated. 

Several recent bankruptcy / fraud‐linked failures (such as auto lender Tricolor Holdings, auto parts supplier First Brands) have triggered off-shoot losses at banks which had exposure to those non-bank borrowers. E.g. one bank flagged ~$170 m related to Tricolor. 

Bank executives (for example, Jamie Dimon of JPMorgan Chase & Co.) have warned “when you see one cockroach, there are probably more” — meaning hidden risks may still lurk. 


3. Investment / scam risks in fintech / digital payments / cross-border fraud

The U.S. Treasury, via OFAC & FinCEN, recently targeted a large transnational criminal organisation (the “Prince Group TCO” in Cambodia) for investment scams and money-laundering linked to virtual currencies, with losses to US households estimated at over US$10 billion in 2024 alone from Southeast Asia-based investment scams. 

Also, classic bank frauds: e.g. an 86-year-old New York retiree lost ~$700K in a scam and is suing her bank for negligence. 

4. Regulatory / enforcement red flags

The U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) dropped a discrimination enforcement case against Citibank three years early, which raises concerns about regulatory discipline. 

Heightened scrutiny on banks’ lending standards, risk controls, especially given past experience (e.g. 2023 regional banking crisis, SVB, etc.). 

⚠️ Why this is important for investors

Here’s how these risks translate into investment/portfolio concerns:

Credit risk is creeping back: When banks (especially smaller/regional ones) lend to less transparent borrowers, or to non-banks with weaker oversight, the probability of losses rises. The recent fraud cases show “hidden” exposures.

Risk of contagion: Although the amounts in individual cases may seem modest relative to large bank balance sheets, what concerns markets is the unknown magnitude of exposures and whether many similar issues exist. A surprise wave of losses could hurt bank earnings, valuations, and investor confidence.

Valuation vulnerability: Banking stocks and financials more broadly are sensitive to changes in credit quality, interest rates, deposit flows, regulation. With news of fraud & losses, sentiment can swing quickly (as markets have seen).

Shadow banking / non-bank lending exposure: Many institutional investors (private equity, hedge funds, pension funds) are allocating more to private credit for yield. But these structures are often less transparent and can carry hidden risks. If defaults/frauds rise, those losses can propagate back to banks, funds and ultimately to investors.

Regulatory & compliance risk: Banks that have weak controls (anti-fraud, anti-money-laundering, risk management) may face fines, reputational damage, and operational costs — all of which can harm shareholder value.

Scams & fintech risk for retail investors: For individual investors, the risk of falling victim to investment scams (especially cross-border, virtual-currency linked) remains high. Losses may not be recoverable.


The United States has one of the world’s most sophisticated audit and regulatory frameworks. Corporate reporting is governed by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (PCAOB), which enforce strict standards on auditors and companies alike. Yet, despite this robust oversight, major financial frauds and losses continue to surface — from regional bank failures to corporate accounting scandals. Why does this happen? 

Why Frauds Occur Despite Strong Audit Regimes in the U.S. 

 1️⃣ Reasonable, Not Absolute, Assurance Audits provide *reasonable* assurance that financial statements are free from material misstatement — not a guarantee. Even the best audits can miss cleverly concealed frauds.

 2️⃣ Management Override of Controls Internal controls can be overridden when top executives manipulate records or suppress evidence. When deception originates at the top, it becomes very hard for auditors to detect. 

 3️⃣ Dependence on Management Information Auditors rely on management-provided data — asset valuations, loan quality, estimates. If management falsifies inputs, even top-tier procedures can be misled. 

 4️⃣ Complexity of Modern Finance Derivatives, securitized loans, and structured instruments involve subjective valuations. Fraud can hide behind assumptions or optimistic projections. 

 5️⃣ Fee Pressure & Resource Limits Audit markets are competitive, and fees often limit testing depth and time, especially in mid-sized audits.

 6️⃣ Conflicts of Interest Even with independence rules, auditors depend economically on clients. That subtle bias can soften skepticism.

 7️⃣ Intentional Concealment & Collusion Fraudsters create fake documentation, shell entities, and circular transactions to fool both systems and auditors. 

 8️⃣ Reactive Oversight Regulators like PCAOB and SEC act strongly, but usually *after* issues emerge — their work improves standards but can’t pre-empt every fraud. 

 9️⃣ Ethical Failure — The Human Factor Ultimately, fraud is an ethical breakdown. Systems can reduce opportunities, not intentions. Conclusion: Even the strongest audit regime cannot guarantee a fraud-free world. Combining better forensic tools, analytics, and ethical governance is the only way forward. 

Anish Jagdish Parashar 
Indirect tax india online research 



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