View and vision
Structured, and professional analysis of Nifty 50 probable movement for 15 January 2026 based on:
✔️ Daily Futures OI (DII/FII/PRO)
✔️ Options OI (FII/PRO)
✔️ Cash Market (FII/DII)
✔️ Nifty 50 Daily Chart (Your Screenshot)
📌 1. MARKET SENTIMENT SUMMARY (14 Jan 2026)
A. FII Futures Positioning – Very Strong Short Bias
Date
FII Fut Net OI
12 Jan
-193,409
13 Jan
-197,655
14 Jan
-199,134
➡️ FII continuously increasing index futures shorts → sentiment remains bearish.
➡️ No signs of short covering yet.
B. PRO Futures Positioning – Reduced Longs
PRO Net OI dropped from +21,523 → +20,198
➡️ PRO are reducing longs → neutral to mildly bearish.
C. DII Futures Positioning – Consistent Long Build Up
DII Net OI: 41,069 (rising)
➡️ DII supporting declines → downside cushioning, but not reversing trend.
D. Options Data – Very Heavy Bearish Positioning
Date
FII Option Net
PRO Option Net
Cumulative
12 Jan
-271,572
-224,864
-496,436
13 Jan
-314,739
-200,012
-514,751
14 Jan
-324,061
-178,761
-502,822
✔ Deep short positions in options (Calls sold + Puts sold unwinding)
✔ Indicates high volatility expectation with downward bias.
✔ Large negative cumulative OI = net short volatility positioning → market expects further fall.
E. Cash Market – Heavy FII Selling Again
FII Cash: -4,781 Cr (selling)
DII Cash: +5,217 Cr (buying)
➡️ FII selling dominates.
➡️ DIIs absorbing sell-off, but trend remains bearish.
📌 2. NIFTY DAILY CHART – BEARISH STRUCTURE
(chart confirms the OI sentiment)
Key Observations from Chart
✔ Price trading below 20/50/100 EMA → bearish trend
✔ MACD → bearish crossover + widening gap
✔ RSI → 84 → falling sharply from overbought zone
✔ Chaikin Money Flow → deep negative → outflow pressure
✔ Candle structure → long red candles with weak pullbacks
✔ Ichimoku → inside/below cloud → no bullish reversal yet
➡️ Technically, trend is down, momentum is down, hence any pullback is sell-on-rise.
📌 3. PROBABLE NIFTY MOVEMENT FOR 15 JANUARY 2026
🎯 Bias: BEARISH TO RANGE-BOUND
Because:
FII Futures → heavy shorts
Options → massive short positions
Cash → FII selling
Chart → bearish
📌 4. KEY LEVELS FOR TOMORROW
Support Zones
Level
Importance
25540
Major short-trigger level
25480
Previous swing support
25350
Breakdown target
25280
High-probability target if FIIs continue selling
Resistance Zones (Sell Areas)
Level
Importance
25720
Immediate resistance
25800
Strong zone of call writers
25880
Short covering only if crossed
25940–25980
Trend reversal only above
📌 5. EXPECTED MARKET STRUCTURE
✔ Most probable scenario
Gap-down or flat open
Minor pullback towards 25700
Selling resumes
Breakdown below 25540 likely
Targets: 25480 → 25350
✔ If unexpected positive global cues
Rise till 25800–25850 possible
FII shorts will add fresh positions → market will again drop
Strong selling zone → short entries possible
📌 6. FINAL VIEW
Nifty 50 Sentiment Tomorrow: BEARISH
FIIs holding largest short positions in last 20 sessions
Technicals fully bearish
No sign of reversal
DIIs supporting, but not enough to reverse trend
Nifty 50 Expected Range:
25350 – 25800
Nifty 50 Probable Move:
➡️ Retest 25700 → fall towards 25480 / 25350
Anish Jagdish Parashar
Indirect tax india online research
Disclaimer:Content reflects personal views of the author and for trading and investment purposes consult with your financial advisor.
